Quick Look:
- Gold shows a modest uptick: Current spot price of $2,391.78/oz, hinting at continued bullish sentiment.
- Silver and platinum vary: Silver dips to $29.56/oz, while platinum rises to $1,068.67/oz.
- Economic indicators: Weakening US Dollar and low Treasury Yield influencing metal prices.
In today’s trading session, gold prices have shown a modest uptick. Besides, the current spot price reached $2,391.78 per ounce, marking a 0.2% increase. This slight rise in value signifies a consistent upward momentum, as evidenced by the recent high of $2,390.00. Future prices also hint at continued bullish sentiments with a projection of $2,396.10.
Gold Targets Firm at $2,431 Amidst Upbeat Market
Market analysts highlight a robust forecast for gold, setting immediate resistance at $2,398.00 and eyeing a Fibonacci retracement level of 78.6%. Bullish targets stand on firm spots, with initial and next higher target levels repeated at $2,431.00 for emphasis. The long-term outlook remains decidedly optimistic.
A seasoned market analyst, Tim Waterer, commented that gold is taking advantage of the favourable conditions as inflation decreases and appears ready to reach the $2,400 mark. However, he cautioned that any potential bounce in the dollar or treasury yields could pose significant hurdles for the metal’s price trajectory.
$31 Peak for Silver; Platinum Climbs Amid Auto Demand
Silver prices have taken a slight downturn, decreasing by 0.4% to $29.56 per ounce. Silver has been at its highest point despite this drop since February 2021. ANZ Analysts note that strong fundamentals and rising investor interest will drive silver to breach the $31.00 mark by the end of 2024.
Meanwhile, palladium has seen a minor decline of 0.2%, settling at $1,009.68 per ounce. In contrast, platinum surged by 0.5%, reaching $1,068.67—an apex since May 22 of the previous year. Platinum’s climb is significantly bolstered by its increasing usage in auto catalysts for gasoline-powered vehicles.
Weak Dollar and Low Treasury Yields Boost Metal Prices
The weakening US Dollar Index and the Ten-Year Treasury Yield touching its lowest in over a month are key economic indicators influencing precious metals prices. The inflation rate is on a downtrend, which typically boosts the appeal of bullion as an inflation hedge. Moreover, the lacklustre US jobs report and softer-than-expected US payrolls for April have led to increased bets on potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, possibly as early as September.
Gold’s Risk of Sharp Retracement Amid Price Surge
As gold and silver position themselves as effective hedges against inflation, the opportunity cost of holding these metals increases with higher interest rates. Investors are advised to remain cautious as the potential for a sharp retracement looms, given the steep price ascent. A drop below $2,352.00 for gold could indicate significant market weakness.
While the market outlook for precious metals, particularly gold and platinum, appears bullish, it is tempered by the overarching economic context and potential volatility. Investors and market watchers will do well to stay alert to changes in economic indicators and central bank decisions that could impact the trajectory of these valuable commodities.
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