Sat, November 26, 2022

What Do U.K. Fiscal Plans Mean for The Market?


In early European trade on Monday, the U.S. dollar declined. This is while the sterling increased on the news that the U.K. will forward its tax and spending plans. This is to calm investors following the unrest connected with the beginning of new Prime Minister Liz Truss’s reign.

The Dollar Index compares the value of the dollar to a basket of six other currencies. This index declined 0.3% to 112.828 at 03:10 ET (07:10 GMT). It rose about 18% this year and is on course for a yearly gain since records began in 1972. Following last week’s explosive U.S. inflation report, which supported predictions of another aggressive rate rise at the upcoming FOMC meeting in early November, dollar bulls are back.

Will Rates Continue Their Uptrend?

The Fed will continue to favor higher real rates for longer. It has to combat the worst inflation danger since the early 1980s. Moreover, according to analysts at ING, the dollar should continue to find strong support on falls.

The first intentions of incoming Prime Minister Liz Truss to finance significant tax cuts with borrowing were disastrous for the U.K. bond market and sterling. The Bank of England intervened to calm things down by initiating an emergency bond-buying program that concluded on Friday.

The most recent Italian consumer price data is on its way. It should climb 8.9% in September and demonstrate that inflation is still high in the third-largest economy in the Eurozone. Hence, the EUR/USD increased by 0.3% to 0.9746. Martins Kazaks, a member of the ECB Governing Council, supported an increase of 75 basis points this month and another 50 or 75 bps at the December 2022 meeting, depending on data and the forecast for prices.



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