Quick Look:
- The recent downtrend in EUR/USD – 1.0980, with current activity around 1.0885.
- Resistance and support levels identified are crucial for the next movements.
- Possible rate cut in June hinted by ECB’s policymakers;
- Economic events like the Fed Rate decision and Eurozone inflation could heavily influence future trends.
The EUR/USD pair is a critical gauge for forex traders. Recently, the pair exhibited downside corrections from its peak near 1.0980, indicating a notable negative movement in the forex market.
Slide to 1.0872: Tracking EUR/USD’s Next Move
The EUR/USD pair experienced a recent low of 1.0872, demonstrating a decline; however, resistance was encountered near 1.0920. An immediate support level hovers around 1.0885, closely aligned with the bullish trend line, hinting at a pivotal point for the pair’s next direction. If the pair breaches below this support, it might seek lower grounds toward 1.0820 and possibly down to 1.0750, signalling a stronger bearish momentum.
The pair faces immediate hurdles on the resistance frontier at 1.0900 and, more substantially, at 1.0915. Moreover, a decisive close above the main resistance of 1.0920 could open the doors to 1.0980. If that happens, a potential reversal or bullish momentum in the near term could appear.
Fed Rate & ECB Remarks: Key Influencers Ahead
The Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision, expected to hold steady at between 5.25% and 5.50%, is a crucial event that could significantly sway the EUR/USD pair. Additionally, remarks from the ECB’s policymaker Pablo Hernández de Cos about potential rate cuts starting in June. Following a decrease in Eurozone inflation, this presents a pivotal factor for the Euro’s strength against the Dollar.
The US Consumer Sentiment Index’s drop to 76.5 in March complicates the currency pair’s future movements. Simultaneously, a modest increase in US Industrial Production by 0.1% MoM in February further influences market sentiment and investor confidence.
Bearish vs Bullish: EUR/USD’s Pivotal Points
A bearish outlook suggests that if the EUR/USD pair breaks below 1.0860, it might target the 1.0765 level. However, surpassing resistance levels at 1.0900, followed by 1.0960, could halt the decline, offering short-term trading opportunities amidst expected market noise. The recovery of the USD exerts additional pressure on the EUR/USD pair, compelling it to trade below the 1.0900 mark and indicating potential struggles for the Euro in rallying against a strengthening Dollar.
The EUR/USD currency pair’s future trajectory remains highly contingent on forthcoming economic indicators and central bank decisions. Investors and traders must closely monitor these developments, as they hold the potential to significantly influence the pair’s movement, either reinforcing the current bearish trend or paving the way for a bullish reversal.
COMMENTS